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Aintree Festival Trends | Grand National Meeting Day Two Friday 8th April

Aintree Festival Trends | Grand National Meeting Day Two Friday 8th April

Dec 22, 2024 1:15 AM

The Aintree Grand National Festival continues into Friday 8th April 2022, with the ITV horse racing cameras showing another five races. Here at SportsLens we give you the key Aintree Festival trends for the main races on day two – use these to build up the profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

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Aintree Festival Trends: Day Two (Friday 8th April 2022)

Races on day two at Aintree include the Topham Chase, which is run over the Grand National-style fences, plus the Grade One Marsh Chase and Grade Two Mildmay Novices’ Chase.

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2.20pm – Betway Top Novices´ Hurdle Grade 2 Cl1 2m110y ITV

2021 Winner: BELFAST BANTER (9/1)

Trainer: Peter Fahey

Jockey: Kevin Sexton

17/18 – Raced no more than 31 days ago

11/18 – Finished first or second last time out

11/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting

9/18 – Aged 5 years-old

9/18 – Ran in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out

6/18 – Won last time out

5/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (5 of last 11)

4/18 – Winning favourites

19 of the last 22 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old

16 of the last 24 (67%) winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out

23 of the last 30 (77%) winners came from the top 4 in the market

The last 9 winners ran in bumpers

Only 1 winning 4 year-old in the last 22 runnings

Only 2 winning 7 year-olds in the last 25 runnings

Just three Irish winners since 1978 (2 from 26 this century)

10 of the last 21 (48%) winners were placed in the top 6 in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

BEST BET: JONBON @ Evs with 888Sport

NEXT BEST: AUCUNRISQUE @ 14/1 with 888Sport

2.55pm – Betway Mildmay Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 3m1f ITV

2021 Winner: CHANTRY HOUSE (11/8 fav)

Trainer: Nicky Henderson

Jockey: Nico De Boinville

18/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting

18/18 – Raced no more than 55 days ago

15/18 – Aged 7 or younger

15/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out

15/18 – Raced no more than 33 days ago

14/18 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out

8/18 – Ran in the RSA (Brown Advisory) Chase last time out

8/18 – Winning favourites

6/18 – Won last time out

4/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

5/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (including 3 of last 4)

2/18 – Irish trained winners

4 of the last 5 RSA (Brown Advisory) Chase winners to run have lost

Trainer Nicky Henderson, Colin Tizzard and Paul Nicholls have won 11 of the last 18 runnings between them

17 of the last 24 winners were aged 6 (6) or 7 (11) years-old

The last 18 winners were either French (7) or Irish (11) bred.

5 of the last 9 winners ran in the Kauto Star Novices’ Chase

31 of the last 32 (97%) winners were priced 10/1 or less

24 of the last 30 winners had won over at least 3m before

35 of the last 39 (90%) winners had won twice or more over fences

16 of the last 19 (84%) winners raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season

20 of the last 22 (91%) winners had run in at least 4 chases

Just one winner returned 11/1 or bigger since 1989

BEST BET: L’HOMME PRESSE @ 11/8 with 888Sport

NEXT BEST: AHOY SENOR @ 11/2 with 888Sport

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3.30pm – Marsh Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m4f ITV

2021 Winner: FAKIR D’OUDAIRIES (2/1 fav)

Trainer: Joseph O’Brien

Jockey: Mark Walsh

18/18 – Raced within the last 30 days

18/18 – Ran in either the Ryanair or Champion Chase that season

17/18 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival last time out

15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting

15/18 – Aged 9 or younger

11/18 – Finished in the top three last time out

11/18 – Ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase last time out

9/18 – Winning favourites

8/18 – Irish-trained winners

7/18 – Ran in the Ryanair Chase that season

4/18 – Won last time out

2/18 – Won by a previous winner of the race

2/18 – Trained by Alan King

23 of the last 30 (77%) runners had won over at least 2m4f

31 of the last 34 (91%) winners were aged 7 or older

23 of the last 30 (77%) winners were aged between 7-9 years-old

13 of the last 26 (52%) winners had finished third or better in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season

17 of the last 26 (65%) winners were fav or 2nd fav

23 of the last 30 (77%) winners had won or been placed at the Grand National Meeting before

13 of the last 17 (76%) winners had won a Grade 1 Chase earlier that season

28 of the last 30 (93%) winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival that season

Only 1 past winner aged 6 years-old

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4.05pm – Randox Health Topham Chase Handicap (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

2021 Winner: LIVELOVELAUGH (15/2)

Trainer: Willie Mullins

Jockey: Patrick Mullins

17/18 – Raced within the last 34 days

16/18 – Aged 10 or younger

16/18 – Didn’t win last time out

13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting

11/18 – Raced within the last 23 days

10/18 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight

10/18 – Unplaced last time out

4/18 – Trained by Peter Bowen

4/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

3/18 – Irish-trained winners

2/18 – Ridden by Sam Waley-Cohen

2/18 – Won last time out

2/18 – Trained by Willie Mullins (last 2)

2/18 – Ridden by Tom O’Brien

5 of the last 7 winners carried 11-0 or more

Henderson, Mullins & Tizzard have trained 7 of the last 8 winners between them

6 of the last 7 winners were rated 141 or higher

5 of the last 7 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival

8 of the last 14 (57%) winners raced in last year’s race

11 of the last 15 (73%) winners hadn’t won over fences that season

11 of the last 17 (65%) winners had raced over the GN-style fences before

15 of the last 28 (54%) winners had raced at least 7 times that season

Only 4 Irish-trained winners since 1979

Just 1 British or Irish-bred winner aged 7 or younger since 1985

Just two winners aged 11+ (114 have tried) since 1994

BEST BET: MISTER COFFEY @ 7/1 with 888Sport

NEXT BEST: FRANCKY DU BERLAIS @ 25/1 with 888Sport

4.40pm – Doom Bar Sefton Novices´ Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m110y ITV

2021 Winner: AHOY SENOR (66/1)

Trainer: Lucinda Russell

Jockey: Derek Fox

16/18 – Had run within the last 35 days

13/18 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger

11/18 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the market

8/18 – Won their last race

5/18 – Favourites that won

3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 7)

2/18 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable

2/18 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies stable

1/18 – Irish-trained winners

Trainer Paul Nicholls is 0-from-8 (last 10 runnings)

13 of the last 14 winners were aged 6 or 7 years-old (93%)

21 of the last 25 (84%) won at least twice over hurdles before

21 of the last 28 (75%) winners had won 4 times or more over hurdles

13 of the last 27 (48%) winners won over at least 2m7f previously

14 of the last 21 (67%) winners didn’t run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival

BEST BET: BANBRIDGE @ 5/2 with 888Sport

NEXT BEST: GELINO BELLO @ 11/2 with 888Sport

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Grand National Trends To Help You Find The Winner

With over 180 years of history, the Grand National is a race with a lot of back stories. Therefore, it’s also a contest that many key Grand National trends have built up – meaning we can look back a recent results and find the best profiles of past Grand National winners.

For example – the last horse aged 7 to win the Grand National was in 1940, while the last six Grand National winners were aged either 8 or 9 years-old.

We’ve a bundle more 2022 Grand National trends and stats for you here – use these to whittle down the Grand National runners and you’ll be left with a handful of horses that tick the best trends. Then all you’ll need is a big of luck!

2022 Grand National Times, Dates, Race Names and Full Festival Schedule

Grand National Festival – Opening Day (Thursday 7th April 2022)

1.45pm The SSS Super Alloys Manifesto Novices’ Steeple Chase (Class 1) Grade 1 2m 4f2.20pm The Anniversary 4-y-o Juvenile Hurdle (Class 1) Grade 1 2m 1f ITV2.55pm The Betway Bowl Steeple Chase (Class 1) Grade 1 3m 1f ITV3.30pm The Betway Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) 2m 4f ITV4.05pm The Randox Foxhunters’ Open Hunters’ Steeple Chase 2m 5f ITV4.40pm The Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Steeple Chase (Class 1) Grade 3 2m ITV5.15pm The Goffs UK Nickel Coin Mares’ Standard Open NH Flat (Grade 2) 2m 1f

Grand National Festival – Ladies Day (Friday 8th April 2022)

1:45pm The Orrell Park Handicap Hurdle (Class 1) Grade 3 2m 4f2.20pm The Betway Top Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) 2m ½f ITV2.50pm The Betway Mildmay Novices’ Steeple Chase (Grade 1) 3m 1f ITV3.25pm The Marsh Steeple Chase (Registered as the Melling) (Grade 1) 2m 4f ITV4.05pm The Randox Health Topham Steeple Chase (Grade 3) 2m 5f ITV4.40pm The Sefton Novices’ Hurdle (Class 1) Grade 1 3m ½f ITV5.15pm The Lydiate Handicap Hurdle (cond’ and amat’) (Class 2) 2m 1f

Grand National Festival – Randox Grand National Day (Saturday 9th April 2022)

1:45pm The EFT Construction Handicap Hurdle (Class 1) Grade 3 3m ½f2.25pm The Betway Mersey Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) 2m 4f ITV3.00pm The Maghull Novices’ Steeple Chase (Class 1) Grade 1 2m ITV3.35pm The Liverpool Hurdle (Class 1) Grade 1 3m ½f ITV4.15pm The Betway Handicap Steeple Chase (Listed) 3m 1f ITV5:15pm The Randox GRAND NATIONAL Steeple Chase (Grade 3) 4m 2½f ITV6.20pm The Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Grade 2) 2m 1f

All

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Learn More1. You must make a first deposit of at least £10/€10 in a single amount to be eligible for the cash refund. 2. Once the bonus is credited on your account, losses will be refunded up to £40/€40 in cash. 3. The bonus equals the amount of your first deposit up to a max of £40/€40. 4. The promotion is only open to new users making their first deposit by card or Trustly. 5. Qualifying bets are not limited to the first bet. Losses can be refunded over multiple bets, as long as they settle within 7 days of the qualifying deposit. 6. Users making their first deposit by Skrill, Neteller, PayPal or a virtual/prepaid card will not qualify for this promotion. Please note that this includes virtual Monzo cards, first deposits made by this method will not qualify for the welcome offer. 7. To withdraw rebated funds, you must bet at least the qualifying deposit on any combination of markets within the promotional period; otherwise rebated funds will be forfeited. 8. Unused bonuses expire after seven days of being credited to a user account and will be removed after this period. 9. The sign-up offer is strictly limited to one per individual, family, household address, email address, same payment account number, IP address or shared computer. 10. The offer can only be redeemed by residents of UK, Ireland and Malta who sign up and deposit between 16:00 GMT on 14 February 2022 and 16:00 GMT on 28 February 2022 and are not existing Smarkets Exchange users. 11. This promotion cannot be used in conjunction with any other sign-up promotion. 12. SBK standard terms for promotions apply.

BetGoodwin UK horse racing news LogoBetGoodwin UK horse racing news Logo

Bet £10 Get £10 Free Bet

11/03/22

Bet £10 Get £10 Free Bet

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New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We'll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period

Min Deposit £10

Learn MorePromotion is available to customers who open new accounts and deposit funds using visa and Mastercard debit cards. Customers claiming this promotion will not be eligible to receive any other New Customer free bet promotion. Free bets must be used in their entirety and stakes are deducted from returns. Free bets must be used within 7 days of it being credited to your account, otherwise it will expire. Free bet cannot be redeemed for cash. This offer can not be used in conjunction with any other Betgoodwin promotion. If your free bet is subsequently voided it will be replaced within 24 hours. Cashed out bets do not count towards this offer. This offer is limited to a free bet award per person/household/IP address. Betgoodwin reserves the right to amend these rules at any time. Betgoodwin reserves the right to cancel an entry to the promotion, terminate any account and withhold any promotional benefits at any time and/ or take such other action as it deems appropriate in its absolute discretion, in particular, but without limitation in respect if we suspect a player is abusing this offer. Betgoodwin reserves the right to void any bets pre-event and return money to players account that follow a predetermined pattern of suspected bonus abuse. Betgoodwin reserves the right to withdraw or terminate this offer at any point. Betgoodwin Terms and Conditions apply.

Energy Bet default news LogoEnergy Bet default news Logo

Bet £10 Get £10 Free Bet

22/03/22

Bet £10 Get £10 Free Bet

NO CODE REQUIRED

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Valid until further notice. New players after 31.03.2021. Valid on first Sports bet. Min. dep. £10. Min. £10 wag. on first bet with min. total odds of 1/1 to qualify. Bet must be settled. Bonus Wag. req.1x on min. 2-fold combi bets (min. 1/4 odds each selection) with min. final odds of 1/1. Virtual bets and cashed out bets do not qualify. One-time offer. Bonuses credited following working day..

Learn MoreValid until further notice. New players after 31.03.2021. Valid on first Sports bet. Min. dep. £10. Min. £10 wag. on first bet with min. total odds of 1/1 to qualify. Bet must be settled. Bonus Wag. req.1x on min. 2-fold combi bets (min. 1/4 odds each selection) with min. final odds of 1/1. Virtual bets and cashed out bets do not qualify. One-time offer. Bonuses credited following working day..

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Bet £10 Get A £10 Free Bet

22/03/22

Bet £10 Get A £10 Free Bet

NO CODE REQUIRED

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New players only. Free bet is a one-time stake of £10, minimum odds of 1.5, stake is not returned. 10x wagering the winnings. Wagering occurs from real balance first. Wagering requirement is calculated on bonus bets only, wagering starts from real funds. Max conversion £20. Valid for 7 days from issue. Excluded Skrill deposits. Full T&Cs apply.

Learn MoreNew players only. Free bet is a one-time stake of £10, minimum odds of 1.5, stake is not returned. 10x wagering the winnings. Wagering occurs from real balance first. Wagering requirement is calculated on bonus bets only, wagering starts from real funds. Max conversion £20. Valid for 7 days from issue. Excluded Skrill deposits. Full T&Cs apply.

LVBet SL news default LogoLVBet SL news default Logo

Bet £10 Get £10 Free Bets

22/03/22

Bet £10 Get £10 Free Bets

NO CODE REQUIRED

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Valid until further notice | New players after 31.03.2021 | Valid on first Sports bet | Min. dep. £10 req. | Min. £10 wag. on the first bet with min. total odds of 1/1 to qualify | Bet must be settled | Bonus Wag. req.1x on min. 2-fold Acca bets (min. 1/4 odds each selection) with min. final odds of 1/ 1| Virtual and cashed out bets do not qualify | One-time offer | Bonuses credited following working day | T&Cs apply | 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Learn MoreValid until further notice | New players after 31.03.2021 | Valid on first Sports bet | Min. dep. £10 req. | Min. £10 wag. on the first bet with min. total odds of 1/1 to qualify | Bet must be settled | Bonus Wag. req.1x on min. 2-fold Acca bets (min. 1/4 odds each selection) with min. final odds of 1/ 1| Virtual and cashed out bets do not qualify | One-time offer | Bonuses credited following working day | T&Cs apply | 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Mr Play default news LogoMr Play default news Logo

Bet £10 Get £15 Free Bet

22/03/22

Bet £10 Get £15 Free Bet

NO CODE REQUIRED

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Learn More18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit: £10, max £15 bonus, valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets no eligible. T&Cs apply.

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Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets

22/03/22

Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets

NO CODE REQUIRED

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Simply open an account, deposit, place a £10+ Fixed Odds individual bet on any sports market at odds of 2.00 (1/1) or greater and once the bet settles, you’ll be issued the first £10 Free Bet, with the second £10 Free Bet issued 24 hours later.

Learn MoreSimply open an account, deposit, place a £10+ Fixed Odds individual bet on any sports market at odds of 2.00 (1/1) or greater and once the bet settles, you’ll be issued the first £10 Free Bet, with the second £10 Free Bet issued 24 hours later.

Interested in the Grand National Follow our guides:

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