The Falmouth Stakes 2022 is the feature race on the second day of the Newmarket July Festival this Friday (8th July) and all eyes will be on the Frankie Dettori-ridden INSPIRAL, who is the red-hot favourite for the race after five straight wins. Andy Newton takes a look at the latest betting, each horses probability of winning and the main Falmouth Stakes trends.

Grab a £50 FREE BET with 10Bet (100% up to £50 welcome bonus +25 spins) to use on the Newmarket races this week.

RELATED: Newmarket Races Today – Racecards, results, tips and latest betting

What Time Is The 2022 Falmouth Stakes

Time: 3:35pm (UK time)

Date: Friday 8th July 2022

Racecourse: Newmarket Races

Winner: £141,775

TV: RacingTV, ITV

DID YOU KNOW Frankie Dettori has only won the Falmouth Stakes once before – in 2008 on the Mark Johnston-trained Nahoodh.

Falmouth Stakes Trends and Stats

Help find the winner of this Friday’s 2022 Falmouth Stakes using our key trends and stats

19/20 – Won a Listed or better class race previously19/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old16/20– Won over at least 1 mile previously16/20 – Had 2+ runs that season15/20 – Won from stall 5 or lower15/20 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting15/20 – Ran at Ascot in their last race11/20 – Favourites placed7/20 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)7/20 – Previous Group One winners7/20 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously6/20 – Won their last race3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 8)2/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 6 runnings)2/20 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of last 10 runnings)2/20 – Owned by the Cheveley Park Stud (2 of the last 8 runnings)

Inspiral Will Be Very Hard To Beat In 2022 Falmouth Stakes

The John Gosden-trained INSPIRAL @ 1/6 with 10Bet will be many people’s Friday banker at Newmarket and it’s hard to make a case against that. She comes into the race unbeaten from five runs and returned to the track last month with an easy 4 3/4 length demolition job in the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot.

She’s also got Frankie Dettori riding and that didn’t look likely a few days ago as the Italian goes in search of his second Falmouth Stakes win. She’s also owned by Cheveley Park Stud, who like to target this race – winning it three times in the past – with the most recent Veracious in 2019.

Inspiral is also rated 9lbs higher than her nearest rivals – Prosperous Voyage, Alcohol Free and Tenebrism, so even if she performs a tad under her normal level she’ll still have a fair bit in-hand.

There is some talk of stepping Inspiral up in trip after this as she’s certainly looked as if she’ll stay further, but for now she’s going to be all the rage in for Friday’s Falmouth Stakes and if the betting is right we’ve around a 70% chance we’ll be seeing another famous Frankie flying dismount at around 3:45 on Friday.

Of the rest, the Aidan O’Brien yard have won two of the last six Falmouth Stakes, but pulled out their intended runners earlier in the week so won’t have any horses in this year’s renewal.

In fact, Inspiral will only have to face four other runners, with just 5 in the race at the final declaration stage. The French raider Sibila Spain was a head winner at Saint-Cloud and is the only other last time out winner in the race, but is still rated 10lbs lower than the hot favourite.

Prosperous Voyage is the second highest rated at 112 and was the runner-up in the 1000 Guineas in May – but was since 9 lengths behind Inspiral last time out in the Coronation Stakes so have plenty of ground to make up in that running.

Primo Bacio is useful on her day but you feel her level is more Group 3 or Listed, while course winner – Sandrine – makes up the five, but is rated 13lbs inferior to Inspiral.

Frankie Has Just One Falmouth Stakes Win

Jockey Ryan Moore has won three of the last eight runnings of the Falmouth Stakes, but surprisingly Frankie has just one win in this decent Group One Newmarket race. That came on the Mark Johnston-trained Nahoodh in 2008.

However, with Inspiral @ 1/6 with 10bet the hot odds-on favourite for the 2022 Falmouth Stakes the 13 year run without success in this race for Frankie looks highly likely to end – at odds of 4/11 she’s got a 73% chance of wininng the 2022 Falmouth Stakes.

Inspiral Can Give Cheveley Park Owners Their Fourth Falmouth Stakes Success

The Falmouth Stakes is also a race that Inspiral’s owners – Cheveley Park Stud – like to win. They’ve won the Group One contest three times in total, with the first back in 1998 (Lovers Knot) and more recently in 2014 (Integral) and 2019 (Veracious).

Trainer John Gosden Has Won The Falmouth Stakes Three Times

The record of trainer John Gosden is also pretty similar to that of the Cheveley Park Stud. He’s also won the race three times, with the first coming back in 1997 (Ryafan) a year before the CPS won their first success in the race. He’s since followed up more recently with Elusive Kate (2013) and Nazeef (2020).

Falmouth Stakes 2022 Latest Betting, Runners and Probability Of Winning

Falmouth Stakes Horse	Latest Odds	Win Probability	Bookmaker
INSPIRAL	1/6	85%
SIBILA SPAIN	12/1	7.7%
PRIMO BACIO	16/1	6%
PROSPEROUS VOYAGE	16/1	6%
SANDRINE	16/1	6%

All odds correct as of 07:50 BST on Fri, 8 July and subject to change

Recent Falmouth Stakes Winners

2021     Snow Lantern (6/1)2020     Nazeef (9/2)2019     Veracious (6/1)2018     Alpha Centauri (4/9 fav)2017     Roly Poly (6/4 fav)2016     Alice Springs (5/2)2015     Amazing Maria (17/2)2014     Integral (15/8 fav)2013     Elusive Kate (3/1)2012     Giofra (10/1)

RELATED: ITV Racing Tips and Trends From Newmarket July Festival On Friday

RELATED: Friday’s Horse Racing NAP of the Day

RELATED: Frankie Dettori Newmarket Rides On Friday – Back This 1,150/1 Acca

RELATED: Falmouth Stakes Tips and Trends For Friday’s Newmarket Race

RELATED: ITV Lucky 15 Tips at Newmarket July Festival on Friday

RELATED: Newmarket July Festival Placepot Tips on Friday

RELATED: Newmarket Each-way Tip Of The Day on Friday

RELATED: Friday’s Horse Racing Tips From EVERY MEETING

RELATED: Andrew Mount’s Friday Horse Racing Tips

RELATED: Newmarket July Festival Free Bets and Bookmaker Offers On Friday

RELATED: Newmarket Free Bets and Bookmaker Offers For EXISTING CUSTOMERS

Watch Snow Lantern Winning The 2021 Falmouth Stakes

2022 Newmarket July Festival Race Times and Schedule

Newmarket July Festival: Thursday 7th July 2022

1:20 – British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f RTV1:50 – Bahrain Trophy Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo) 1m5f ITV2:25 – Close Brothers July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV3:00 – Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 6f ITV3:35 – Princess Of Wales’s Close Brothers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV4:10 – Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m RTV4:40 – Weatherbys Hamilton Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 1m RTV

Newmarket July Festival: Friday 8th July 2022

1:15 – Weatherbys British EBF Maiden Stakes (Colts & Geldings) Cl3 (2yo) 7f RTV1:50 – bet365 Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV2:25 – Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored By bet365) (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV3:00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV3:35 – Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4:10 – Arioneo Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 7f RTV4:45 – Moet & Chandon Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 5f RTV

Newmarket July Festival: Saturday 9th July 2022

1:30 – Rossdales British EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (GBB Race) Cl3 (2yo) 7f RTV2:05 – Bedford Lodge Hotel & Spa Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV2:40 – bet365 Mile Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 1m ITV3:15 – bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV3:50 – bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV4:25 – Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV5:00 – Discover Newmarket Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m4f RTV