The July Stakes 2022 is one of the feature races on the opening day of the Newmarket July Festival this Thursday (7th July) and with the Richard Hannon yard winning the race 9 times over the years, their Persian Force will be a popular July Stakes tip. Andy Newton takes a look at the latest betting, each horses probability of winning and the main July Stakes trends (2:25pm).
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What Time Is The 2022 July Stakes
Time: 2:25pm (UK time)
Date: Thursday 7th July 2022
Racecourse: Newmarket Races
Winner: £56,710
TV: RacingTV, ITV
DID YOU KNOW The Richard Hannon yard have won the July Stakes 9 times since 1989
July Stakes Trends and Stats
Help find the winner of Thursday’s 2022 July Stakes using our key trends and stats
19/20 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously18/20 – Placed in their last run17/20 – Had 2 or more previous career starts15/20 – Won by either a Feb or March foal12/20 – Won their last race11/20 – Won at 9/2 or shorter10/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race10/20 – Unplaced favourites7/20 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard (9 wins in total)6/20 – Winning favourites1/20 – Winners that came from stall 1Is The 2022 July Stakes A Two Horse Shoot-out
This year’s 2022 July Stakes certainly does look between two horses as the Richard Hannon-trained PERSIAN FORCE @ 6/4 with 10Bet and the Aidan O’Brien runner LITTLE BIG BEAR @ 13/8 with 10Bet are dominating the betting – with most bookmakers finding it hard to split them.
Persian Force will represent a yard that have won this race 9 times over the years and after a decent start to his 2 year-old career – winning at Newbury and Doncaster – wasn’t disgraced when second in the G2 Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot last month.
That Group Two form is the best on offer and having stayed on well that day we know he’s one of the few on the race that will be fine over this 6f trip.
Little Big Bear, on the otherhand, does have a bit to prove over this 6f distance after being beaten over it on debut back in April. However, he’s since won twice over 5f, so has plenty of pace and the form of this recent Windsor Castle win at Royal Ascot has been boosted with the second bolting up at Sandown recently. O’Brien won this race in 2019.
Those looking to spoil the party with regards to the first two in the betting will be the Michael Bell runner Brave Nation, who was a fair 4th in the Norfolk Stakes last time, and Godolphin’s Mysterious Night, who was an easy winner at Newbury last time out.
The Hannon Yard Have Won The July Stakes 9 Times
It’s hard to ignore the good record of the Hannon yard in this race over the years – they’ve landed the July Stakes a remarkable 9 times!
Hannon Snr has been responsible for 6 of those wins and the current handler – Hannon Jr – has followed in his father’s footsteps with 3 successes.
The first Hannon winner came in 1989, when Willie Carson guided home their Rock City, while their most recent was only last year when the Pat Dobbs-ridden Lusail continued the stable’s fine record in the race.
2022 July Stakes Tip and Best Bet
Persian Force looks to have the best form in the book, having run second in a Group Two and we know the trip is fine. That coupled with the yard’s excellent record in the race means he’s hard to overlook.
However, the O’Brien runner – LITTLE BIG BEAR @ 13/8 with 10Bet – just edges it. Yes, the step up to 5f is a small worry, but he’s a stronger and wiser horse now since losing on debut over this 6f trip and his breeding suggests he’s certainly worth another crack at it. He’s a pacey sort and being foaled in January is also a tiny bit older than most of these and even those extra weeks/months to mature can be a huge plus during a horse’s 2 year-old campaign.
Note: Odds are subject to change.
July Stakes 2022 Latest Betting, Runners and Probability Of Winning
| July Stakes Horse | Latest Odds | Win Probability | Bookmaker |
| PERSIAN FORCE | 6/4 | 40% |  |
| LITTLE BIG BEAR | 13/8 | 38% | |
| MYSTERIOUS NIGHT | 13/2 | 13% | |
| BRAVE NATION | 8/1 | 11% | |
| WAITING ALL NIGHT | 16/1 | 6% | |
| HARRY TIME | 22/1 | 5% | |
| SHOW RESPECT | 40/1 | 2.5% | |
| KING’S CROWN | 100/1 | 1% | |
All odds correct as of 08:29 BST on Weds, 7 July and subject to change
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Recent July Stakes Winners
2021 LUSAIL (15/2)2020 TACTICAL (5/2)2019 ROYAL LYTHAM (11/1)2018 ADVERTISE (11/10 fav)2017 CARDSHARP (8/1)2016 MEHMAS (11/4 fav)2015 SHALAA (14/1)2014 IVAWOOD (3/1 fav)2013 ANJAAL (14/1)2012 ALHEBAYEB (9/2)RELATED: ITV Racing Tips and Trends From Newmarket July Festival On Thursday
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